Manfred Lueth

The $500 billion AI infrastructure boom is built on an assumption that may not survive contact with reality: that application revenue will eventually justify the investment. THE ASSUMPTION: Infinite Compute, Guaranteed Returns The belief is seductive: explosive, near-infinite demand for generative AI compute will justify a historic wave of

Assumptions in projects, ventures and life are, paradoxically, both the foundational tool that allows a project to begin and the most dangerous hidden risk that can cause it to fail. In project management, an assumption is defined as any factor considered to be true, real, or certain without empirical proof

I’ve been thinking about the Christmas story lately—the one we all (assumption: we in the "West") grew up hearing. You know, the young couple knocking on doors in Bethlehem, the grumpy innkeeper shrugging them off, the lonely stable under the stars. It’s a vivid picture,

The Northvolt autopsy shows how founders lose execution authority when capital, governments, and customers all demand different definitions of success at the same time. The Claim Under the Knife Europe can build a homegrown battery champion that competes with Tesla and Chinese incumbents by combining patient capital, political backing, and

Signa Holding: €40 billion in creditor claims, one invisible assumption, and 18 months nobody used. Entity: Signa Holding GmbH, Vienna. Real estate and luxury retail conglomerate. Filed for insolvency: November 2023 Debt at collapse: ~€13 bn in real estate assets; creditor claims exceeding €40 bn Time between cause and consequence: